problemi di politica internazionale

The evolution of the diplomatic situation between Afghanistan, Pakistan and USA, marks an important change. Islamabad fact looking to hire a mediator between the forces of the Taliban and Kabul. Behind this move is the need to exit the tunnel of the country suspected of complicity with Pakistani forces fighting against NATO, repeatedly raised by the Obama administration, but not only. Islamabad has the company needed to reduce the military situation, which is located on the border with Afghanistan, where they find refuge area for incursions into the territory of Kabul, the Taliban militia and connected to the issue, to regain sovereignty over large portions state, which in fact escape the full administration of the capital. He then generated a mix of needs of both internal, and external, which forced the Pakistani government to opt for a totally new way, which aims to overcome the considerable suspicion on the diplomatic front, both with the neighboring Afghan with USA. At step has a central role in Qatar, where in Doha, the capital, it is taken for the imminent opening of a representative of the Taliban and where it could start its mission on the case, the Pakistani Prime Minister Gilani. The United States has long been identified as functional in their exit strategy from the conflict, the development of contacts already initiated unofficially, with the Taliban, which is considered essential in the process of pacification of Afghanistan. Implicitly, this is an admission of failure of the U.S. force to break the toughest opponents of the state led by Karzai and as history has repeatedly taught the impossibility of not formally include them in Afghan society. The real problem is, if anything, being able to include them in the new state so as to enable their vision, but at the same time convince them to accept the plurality of different approaches to arrive at an acceptable level of democracy. The greatest obstacle to this solution, however, is represented by Karzai and to a lesser extent, by the Pakistani government, which they see as a sign of weakness in the granting of the Taliban officially sit at a negotiating table. In reality on this front there would be failure on the part of the same Afghan president, who seems to have expressed its readiness to meet with the opposing party, presumably in Saudi Arabia. For Pakistan the situation is different, the caution comes from the fear of moving side to lend further criticism from the international scene, who have repeatedly reproached the government in Islamabad did not have an attitude too believe in the fight against terrorism. It would come so to create an unusual alliance, unique in terms of convenience between the U.S. and Taliban both convinced of the necessity of the process of inclusion in the negotiations of the Islamic militias against Afghanistan and Pakistan, who fear that the development that can take ‘ Understanding the above, leads to isolation from the peace process in Kabul and Islamabad, no longer the main protagonists of the negotiations, but reduced to the role of supporting actors. On the other hand the concerns of the two Asian governments are justified by the continuing violence made by the Taliban, whose intensity would have caused an adjustment in the U.S. plans on withdrawal of its troops. Confirmed the early withdrawal of 2013 the bulk of the armed forces, the Pentagon would be preparing a defense strategy by the exclusive presence of special forces and the increased use of electronic warfare, especially through an increasingly massive use of air power through the ‘use of drones, also because, on this side, we have obtained good results, which showed the drop in large number of foreign jihadists, ie coming from the Middle East and even Europe, although they have been replaced by fighters Pakistani origin. The scenario, in short, is still far from finding a definition is very stable and fluid, with, however, real potential, although in the long run, to find a positive outcome. In this context, the new Pakistani attitude represents an opportunity to be seized and not to be missed: the situation of the country does not yet allow the state of war on its borders, and this must be the starting point for reviving the negotiations between all the forces in field.

This entry was posted on 9 febbraio 2012 alle 11:37 and is filed under English version. Puoi seguire gli interventi tramite RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.